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	<title>US Policy Strategies &#187; Financial Services</title>
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	<description>US Policy Metrics is a boutique advisory firm for hedge funds and asset management firms.</description>
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		<title>WSJ: The Plot to Politicize Banking</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-plot-to-politicize-banking/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-plot-to-politicize-banking/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 15 Jan 2020 16:21:23 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal Policy]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/?p=1161</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Liberal lawmakers and activists want banks to lend to favored groups and deny the ‘undesirables.’ By Phil Gramm and Michael Solon Jan. 14, 2020 6:59 pm ET To resist President Trump’s campaign of economic reform and deregulation, his critics usually attempt to portray long-overdue, common-sense policies as assaults on the poor. A good example is the&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-plot-to-politicize-banking/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 class="sub-head">Liberal lawmakers and activists want banks to lend to favored groups and deny the ‘undesirables.’</h2>
<div class="byline article__byline">By Phil Gramm and Michael Solon</div>
<p><time class="timestamp article__timestamp flexbox__flex--1">Jan. 14, 2020 6:59 pm ET</time></p>
<p>To resist President Trump’s campaign of economic reform and deregulation, his critics usually attempt to portray long-overdue, common-sense policies as assaults on the poor. A good example is the controversy regarding the Community Reinvestment Act, or CRA, which requires banks to meet the “credit needs” of their “entire community, including low- and moderate-income neighborhoods, consistent with the safe and sound operation of such institutions.” The media howled at a plan to rein in abuses of the law—despite its role in fueling the subprime crisis—setting off a fight among regulators.</p>
<p>Bank regulators started using the CRA in the mid-1990s to pressure banks to make subprime loans. Congress used quotas to force government-sponsored enterprises to buy these loans, and regulators set capital standards to induce banks to hold them. By 2008, roughly half of all outstanding U.S. mortgages were high-risk, as measured by down payments and creditworthiness. The federal government itself guaranteed, issued or held 76% of subprime loans. The term “subprime” originated from the implementation of the CRA.</p>
<p>To curb this abuse and encourage sounder lending, the comptroller of the currency proposed new benchmarks last month to measure CRA compliance and require full reporting and accountability. His reforms represent an essential step toward relieving the pressure banks face to lend to politically favored, uncreditworthy entities—the policies that helped cause the subprime crisis.</p>
<p>Yet after the proposal was tarred by the media as an attack on poor neighborhoods, a Federal Reserve Board member proposed an alternative that largely preserves the Obama CRA policy. Disputes among bank regulators are rare, and President Trump should help resolve this one by publicly supporting the comptroller’s reforms.</p>
<p>While policy makers fight over CRA abuses, another effort is under way to politicize credit. This time, instead of steering credit to the favored uncreditworthy, activists want to deny credit to the disfavored creditworthy. Banking was used as a weapon against legal, solvent businesses by the Obama administration during Operation Choke Point, a program to deny the disfavored access to banking services. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. labeled certain businesses “high risk,” including firearms and ammunition dealers, check-cashers, payday lenders and fireworks vendors. Unelected regulators, not Congress or courts, marked these industries as “dirty business” and made it “unacceptable for an insured depository institution” to offer them banking services.</p>
<p>The Trump administration ended Operation Choke Point. But some members of Congress have joined political activists in a new effort to block credit from going to legal, creditworthy enterprises through political intimidation. “There’s more than one way to skin a cat, and not everything has to be done through legislation explicitly” said Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez last year.</p>
<p>At a congressional hearing with the then-CEO of Wells Fargo, she demonstrated how this political skinning works by asking, “Why was the bank involved in the caging of children?” He responded that “for a period of time, we were involved in financing one of the firms” that built federal immigration detention centers, but “we’re not anymore.” Under political pressure, <a href="https://quotes.wsj.com/JPM">JPMorgan Chase</a> and <a href="https://quotes.wsj.com/BAC">Bank of America</a> joined this boycott of the detention-center company.</p>
<p>With Democrats unable to ban guns legislatively, Rep. Carolyn Maloney admonished banks at a recent hearing to not “finance gun slaughter.” When she urged JPMorgan to deny credit for legal firearm sales as other banks had done, the CEO responded, “We can certainly consider that. Yes.” At the same hearing, Rep. Rashida Tlaib challenged bank CEOs: “Will any of your banks make a commitment to phase out your investments in fossil fuels and dirty energy?” The CEOs declined to defend fossil fuels, even though they power 90% of U.S. transportation and provide two million jobs in energy extraction alone.</p>
<p>If these CEOs sound weak-kneed, it is important to understand that corporate leaders are entrusted with the stewardship of trillions of dollars, the life savings of millions of workers and retirees. Their congressional intimidators hold the power of subpoena and adverse publicity over their banks today, and could be one election away from having the power to take over their banks.</p>
<p>Democrats on the Senate Banking Committee have now joined the effort, calling on the nation’s largest banks to align their business strategies with the Paris climate agreement, from which the U.S. has withdrawn.</p>
<p>Letting political intimidation dictate the availability of private credit endangers freedom and stifles productivity growth and job creation. Had banks been intimidated out of making oil and gas loans a decade ago, fracking would have been impeded, America wouldn’t have achieved energy independence, and economic growth and wages would be lower. Americans would also be using less natural gas, burning more coal and generating higher carbon emissions.</p>
<p>Moreover, the practice of creating lists of political undesirables could be adopted on both sides of the aisle. How would today’s intimidators react if some future administration or Congress added abortion clinics, labor unions or disfavored media companies to a government hit list? Circumventing the legislative process to limit the freedom of some endangers the freedom of all.</p>
<p>In addition to supporting the comptroller’s reforms, Mr. Trump should use his executive authority to issue regulatory guidance to enforce the CRA by guaranteeing that legal, creditworthy borrowers not be denied banking services. The use of political intimidation to allocate capital is an assault on economic efficiency and freedom. The Constitution protects desirables and undesirables alike.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm is a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. Mr. Solon is a partner of US Policy Metrics.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ: Warren’s Assault on Retiree Wealth</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-warrens-assault-on-retiree-wealth/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-warrens-assault-on-retiree-wealth/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 11 Sep 2019 04:07:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal Policy]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/?p=1146</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Her vision of ‘accountable capitalism’ would destroy savings built over a lifetime—and sink the economy. By Phil Gramm and Mike Solon Sept. 10, 2019 6:41 pm ET Who owns the vast wealth of America? Old folks. According to the Federal Reserve, households headed by people over the age of 55 own 73% of the value of&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-warrens-assault-on-retiree-wealth/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 class="sub-head">Her vision of ‘accountable capitalism’ would destroy savings built over a lifetime—and sink the economy.</h2>
<div class="byline article__byline">By Phil Gramm and Mike Solon</div>
<p><time class="timestamp article__timestamp flexbox__flex--1">Sept. 10, 2019 6:41 pm ET</time></p>
<p>Who owns the vast wealth of America? Old folks. According to the Federal Reserve, households headed by people over the age of 55 own 73% of the value of domestically owned stocks, and the same share of America’s total wealth. Households of ages 65 to 74 have an average of $1,066,000 in net worth, while those between ages 35 and 44 have less than a third as much on average, at $288,700.</p>
<div class="paywall">
<p>A socialist might see injustice in that inequality. But seniors know this wealth gap is the difference between the start and the finish of a career of work and thrift, making the last mortgage and retirement payments rather than the first. Seventy-two percent of the value of all domestically held stocks is owned by pension plans, 401(k)s and individual retirement accounts, or held by life insurance companies to fund annuities and death benefits. This wealth accumulated over a lifetime and benefits all Americans.</p>
<p>That means it’s your life savings on the line—not the bankroll of some modern-day John D. Rockefeller—when Democrats push to limit companies’ methods of enriching their shareholders. Several Democratic congressmen and presidential candidates have proposed to limit stock buybacks, which are estimated to have increased stock values by almost a fifth since 2011, as well as to block dividend payments, impose a new federal property tax, and tax the inside buildup of investments. Yet among all the Democratic taxers and takers, no one would hit retirees harder than Sen. Elizabeth Warren.</p>
<p>Her “Accountable Capitalism Act” would wipe out the single greatest legal protection retirees currently enjoy—the requirement that corporate executives and fund managers act as fiduciaries on investors’ behalf. To prevent union bosses, money managers or politicians from raiding pension funds, the 1974 Employee Retirement Income Security Act requires that a fiduciary shall manage a plan “solely in the interest of the participants and beneficiaries . . . for the exclusive purpose of providing benefits to participants and their beneficiaries.” The Securities and Exchange Commission imposes similar requirements on investment advisers, and state laws impose fiduciary responsibility on state-chartered corporations.</p>
<p>Sen. Warren would blow up these fiduciary-duty protections by rewriting the charter for every corporation with gross receipts of more than $1 billion. Every corporation, proprietorship, partnership and limited-liability company of that size would be forced to enroll as a federal corporation under a new set of rules. Under this new Warren charter, companies currently dedicated to their shareholders’ interest would be reordered to serve the interests of numerous new “stakeholders,” including “the workforce,” “the community,” “customers,” “the local and global environment” and “community and societal factors.”</p>
<p>Eliminating corporations’ duty to serve investors exclusively and forcing them to serve political interests would represent the greatest government taking in American history. Sen. Warren’s so-called accountable capitalism raids the return that wealth provides to its owners, the vast majority of whom are present or near retirees. This subversion of capitalism would hijack Americans’ wealth to serve many new masters who, unlike shareholders, don’t have their life savings at stake in the companies that are collectivized.</p>
<p>After dividing retirees’ rightful earnings eight ways to serve the politically favored, the Warren charter goes on to require that “not less than 2/5 of the directors of a United States corporation shall be elected by the employees.” With a mandate to share profits with seven other interest groups and 40% of the board chosen by non-investors, does anybody doubt that investors’ wealth would be quickly devoured?</p>
<p>At best, every U.S. company with gross revenues over $1 billion would be suddenly coerced into operating like a not-for-profit. But unlike legally recognized Benefit Corporations, the companies would be redirected to multiple competing purposes. A new Office of U.S. Corporations would decide—and lawyers would sue to determine—whether those interests are satisfied, and only then would retirees receive the remaining crumbs. Only in Sen. Warren’s socialist heaven would workers continue to sweat and sacrifice while their rewards go to publicly favored groups.</p>
<p>It is the fiduciary responsibility of every investment adviser, pension fund, 401(k), IRA and life insurance company to tell its clients what would happen to their investments under Sen. Warren’s bill. Her plan would devastate the income-generating capacity of every major company in America and decimate their market value in the process.</p>
<p>If the bill were passed, retirement plans and investors could attempt to sell their stocks and find new investments where their money would still work for them. They could sell their shares in the large companies subject to Sen. Warren’s dispossession and buy into smaller companies with receipts below the $1 billion threshold, or look for investments abroad.</p>
<div id="unruly" class="wsj-body-ad-placement">
<div class="wsj-body-ad ">
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<div id="google_ads_iframe_/2/interactive.wsj.com/opinion_4__container__">The problem is that everybody else would be trying to do the same. Investments built over a lifetime would be sold in a fire sale, with limited alternatives purchased in panic buying. While no econometric model could give a reliable estimate of the wealth destruction, no knowledgeable observer could doubt that an economic cataclysm would follow such a policy. “Accountable capitalism” would hit present and near-retirees first and hardest, followed by American workers and the rest of the economy.</div>
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<p>Sen. Warren would roll back the economic Enlightenment that gave us private property and economic freedom, and plunge us back into the communal world of the Dark Ages. Like the village, guild, church and crown of yore, government-empowered special interests would once again be allowed to extort labor and thrift. When capital is no longer protected as private property and is instead redefined as a communal asset, prosperity and freedom will be the greatest casualties.</p>
<p>Socialism always destroys wealth; it doesn’t redistribute it. Unfortunately, this great truth is far from self-evident. Whether current and near-retirees will stand up and fight for their retirement savings will effectively gauge the survival instinct of our country, and our willingness to preserve the economic system that built it.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm, a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr. Solon is a partner of US Policy Metrics.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ-The Myth of ‘Wage Stagnation’</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-myth-of-wage-stagnation/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-myth-of-wage-stagnation/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 May 2019 18:59:20 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/?p=1124</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Usual measures of inflation don’t count the benefits of better products and more consumer choice. By Phil Gramm and John Early May 17, 2019 4:49 p.m. ET Perhaps the most common indictment of America’s legendary prosperity is wage stagnation. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show that average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory employees peaked in&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wsj-the-myth-of-wage-stagnation/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 class="sub-head">Usual measures of inflation don’t count the benefits of better products and more consumer choice.</h2>
<div class="byline article__byline">By Phil Gramm and John Early</div>
<div class="byline article__byline">May 17, 2019 4:49 p.m. ET</div>
<div class="byline article__byline"></div>
<div class="byline article__byline">
<p>Perhaps the most common indictment of America’s legendary prosperity is wage stagnation. Bureau of Labor Statistics data show that average hourly earnings of production and nonsupervisory employees peaked in October 1972 at $23.26 (in 2019 dollars) and were at that same level in March 2019. But do these numbers remotely describe the life you have lived over the past 45 years, or square in any way with numerous official measures of changes in what Americans actually own and consume? In short, should you believe your eyes or government data?</p>
<div class="paywall">
<p>Compared with 1972, American homes today are much more spacious and modern. The proportion of homes today that have two or more rooms per person is up 33.5%. The share of homes with two or more bathrooms has more than doubled; central air-conditioning is more than three times as common; and the share of homes that have dishwashers is up by more than two-thirds. Most homes in 1972 had televisions, but only about half were color sets. Today they are all color and most are flat screens in high definition, attached to cable or satellites. The average home in 1972 had at least one phone, but none had cellphones or internet access.</p>
<p>Kitchens today are stocked with a far wider array of foods, including out-of-season fruits brought from half a world away and a vast variety of prepared foods. Compared with 1972, this abundance costs an ever smaller portion of families’ budgets, freeing up some $3,200 on average to spend on other things.</p>
<p>Cars last 81.3% longer and are 72.7% safer, and many have GPS navigation and premium sound systems. No standard model lacks air-conditioning or power steering. The share of the population with college degrees is almost three times as high. Americans live 7.4 years longer and their median age is almost 10 years older, yet the proportion of people reporting poor health is 20.3% lower. Real median household net worth is up 172.2%.</p>
<p>By virtually any definition of economic well-being, Americans are substantially better off today than they were a half-century ago. So how did we obtain this massive cornucopia of prosperity without a pay raise since 1972?</p>
<p>Part of the problem is that the BLS’s measure of average hourly earnings excludes employer-provided benefits, which now make up 30% of compensation. Counting the value of worker benefits adds 5% to the 46-year increase in total compensation.</p>
<p>More significant, the official index used to adjust for inflation—the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W—overstates actual inflation and understates real compensation. Nominal average hourly earnings rose from $3.99 in October 1972 to $23.26 this March, a 483% increase, but CPI-W also rose 483%, creating the reported stagnation in real average hourly earnings. While the CPI-W accurately measures changes in price for a fixed market basket of goods and services, it overestimates inflation because it fails to account for the substitution effect—how people change their consumption habits as relative prices change. Americans began to fly more often in the 1970s when the cost of airfare fell relative to the cost of ground transportation, for example, but the CPI-W missed this increase in consumer value by neither raising the weight it assigned to spending on air travel nor downgrading the weight for ground travel.</p>
<p>In contrast, the Commerce Department’s personal-consumption expenditures price index updates the market basket of goods and services monthly based on what people actually buy, allowing it to account partially for the substitution effect. Since 2000 the Federal Reserve has used this index to set monetary policy because it’s a more accurate measure of inflation. In designing the 2017 tax reform, Congress indexed the new income-tax brackets using a similar index to account for product substitution. Using the PCE price index rather than the conventional CPI-W to adjust compensation results in real hourly compensation levels that are 27.7% higher today than they were in 1972.</p>
<p>The biggest challenge in measuring real compensation and Americans’ well-being is the extraordinary growth in new products that have brought new benefits not captured in any government consumer price metric. The BLS does add new products to its index when they become widely used, but it often misses the initial price decline and understates the product’s impact on consumer welfare, including displacement of other, older products. The cellphone was first introduced as a specific item in the CPI-W in 1998. But because the device entered the index 14 years after the first public sale, the index never accounted for the preceding 75% drop in cellphone prices, nor the value of their lighter batteries and longer-lasting charge.</p>
<p>It may be impossible to discern perfectly what share of changes in the costs of goods and services comes from inflation compared with the share that comes from real increases in value. But in communications technology, for instance, it’s clear that no government metric comes close to capturing the full value of technology as America has progressed from the Pony Express to the telegraph, telephone, portable phone, cellphone and the smartphone.</p>
<p>Today 224 million Americans have at our fingertips more than two million apps, forecasting the weather anywhere in the world and showing us how to get anywhere we want to go. We communicate immediately without stationery or stamps or driving to the post office. We get medical advice without going to the doctor and obtain instantaneous access to more knowledge than is in the local library. We shop from our armchairs and work for companies thousands of miles away. Yet no government consumer-price index has ever come close to adjusting for the value embodied in this one of many miracle innovations.</p>
<p>Economists Bruce Meyer and James Sullivan attempted to correct for some of this problem in a 2013 study, integrating the findings of 52 different economic studies to develop a price index that adjusts more completely for changes in quality and innovation, as well as substitution. For example, using data from the American housing survey to quantify size and quality, they determined that the CPI overstates housing inflation by about 0.25% a year because it mistakes higher payments for bigger and better homes for real price increases.</p>
<p>They also used hedonic regression, a method of calculating implicit market prices for different features of an item, to demonstrate that the CPI overstates the yearly rate of increase in prices for personal electronic devices by as much as 5.8%. They corrected the CPI’s overestimation of the yearly rise in health-care costs by pricing based on treatment of a condition, as well as differences in outcomes such as survival, recovery and function.</p>
<p>Messrs. Meyer and Sullivan’s improvements are only a modest beginning of the needed revisions to traditional measures of inflation. Yet they provide convincing evidence that at a minimum, real compensation, in terms of the value of what we can actually buy, hasn’t stagnated since 1972, but instead has grown by at least 69.5%. For most of us who were around in 1972, that 69.5% increase more closely fits the world we live in.</p>
<p>The suggestion that America hasn’t gotten a raise in 46 years doesn’t pass the laugh test. Poor measurements of compensation are more than misleading; they also cause many voters and policy makers to favor redistribution that would depress growth and compensation. Nothing is more critical to promoting sound policy than measuring economic outcomes accurately. A nation is only as good as its facts.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm is a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee. Mr. Early served twice as assistant commissioner at the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This article is adapted from a forthcoming book with Bob Ekelund, “Freedom and Inequality.”</em></p>
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		<title>Fox Business: Trump tax plan will pass both houses: Fmr. Sen. Phil Gramm</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/trump-tax-plan-will-pass-both-houses-fmr-sen-phil-gramm/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 02 Oct 2017 15:53:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/?p=1007</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sep. 29, 2017 &#8211; 8:53 &#8211; Former Texas Sen. Phil Gramm (R) on why he thinks President Trump’s tax reform plan will pass both houses of Congress. You can watch the video here.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sep. 29, 2017 &#8211; 8:53 &#8211; Former Texas Sen. Phil Gramm (R) on why he thinks President Trump’s tax reform plan will pass both houses of Congress.</p>
<p>You can watch the video <a href="http://video.foxbusiness.com/v/5593320896001/?#sp=show-clips">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>WH says corporate tax rate proposal is non-negotiable</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wh-says-corporate-tax-rate-proposal-is-non-negotiable/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/wh-says-corporate-tax-rate-proposal-is-non-negotiable/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 01 Oct 2017 16:52:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/?p=1011</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sep. 30, 2017 &#8211; 7:32 &#8211; Former Senate Banking Committee Chair Phil Gramm reacts to plan&#8217;s reduction from 35 percent to 20 percent.  You can watch the video here.]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Sep. 30, 2017 &#8211; 7:32 &#8211; Former Senate Banking Committee Chair Phil Gramm reacts to plan&#8217;s reduction from 35 percent to 20 percent.  You can watch the video <a href="http://video.foxnews.com/v/5594226728001/?#sp=show-clips">here</a>.</p>
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		<title>WSJ: Why This Recovery Is So Lousy</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/why-this-recovery-is-so-lousy/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/why-this-recovery-is-so-lousy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Oct 2016 14:51:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
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		<category><![CDATA[Monetary Policy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Don’t believe the line that slow growth is inevitable after financial crises. Bad policies yield bad results. By PHIL GRAMM and MICHAEL SOLON Aug. 3, 2016  Donald Trump has been criticized by Democrats and Republicans alike for saying that “the American dream is dead.” But instead of slaying the messenger, critics on both sides of&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/why-this-recovery-is-so-lousy/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
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<h2 class="sub-head">Don’t believe the line that slow growth is inevitable after financial crises. Bad policies yield bad results.</h2>
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<div class="byline">By PHIL GRAMM and MICHAEL SOLON</div>
<p><time class="timestamp">Aug. 3, 2016 </time></p>
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<p><a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/T/Donald-Trump/159">Donald Trump</a> has been criticized by Democrats and Republicans alike for saying that “the American dream is dead.” But instead of slaying the messenger, critics on both sides of the aisle should be examining why so many Americans agree with Mr. Trump and why the Obama “recovery” has been so painful for so many.</p>
<p>When President Obama took office during the 2007-09 recession no president was ever better positioned to lead a strong recovery. With an impressive electoral mandate, Mr. Obama enjoyed a filibuster-proof Senate supermajority, a 79-vote House majority and a nation ready for change. History too seemed to smile on Mr. Obama’s endeavor. The recession ended just six months into his first term and, with the sole exception of the Great Depression, every severe recession since 1870—when reliable annual data were first collected—had been followed by a vigorous recovery.</p>
<p>In his capacity to implement his program, Mr. Obama stood as a colossus with the fates on his side, the vast power of government at his disposal and no one—not Congress, the Supreme Court or the Federal Reserve—willing or able to deny his will. No resources were spared. The Obama $836 billion stimulus exceeded all previous U.S. economic stimulus programs combined. The Treasury borrowed over $1 trillion a year for four years in a row, according to Office of Management and Budget <a class="icon none" href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/omb/budget/Historicals" target="_blank">data</a>. The Federal Reserve injected $3 trillion of new reserves into the banking system, generating record-low interest rates.</p>
<div id="realtor" class="wsj-body-ad-placement"> Every government forecaster predicted happy days would soon be here again. In August 2010, the Congressional Budget Office projected 3.3% average real GDP growth for 2010-15. The Federal Reserve forecast growth as strong as 3.7%. Mr. Obama’s own Office of Management and Budget expected peak growth of 4.5%. And these estimates were conservative as compared with the actual recovery patterns that had followed every major recession except the Depression.</div>
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<p>In the six decades from 1948 to 2007, the U.S. economy grew at an average annual rate of 3.5%, including all the negative growth years during 10 recessions, according to the Commerce Department’s <a class="icon none" href="https://www.cbo.gov/sites/default/files/114th-congress-2015-2016/reports/50724-BudEconOutlook-3.pdf" target="_blank">Bureau of Economic Affairs</a>. Yet not once in the last seven years has annual economic growth ever reached 3%. Average real per capita income grew five times faster during the Clinton recovery, seven times faster during the Reagan recovery and 10 times faster during the Kennedy/Johnson recovery than during the Obama recovery.</p>
<p>In all recoveries following all 30 economic contractions since 1870, only two have failed to have strong rebounds after deep recessions. Only two are now labeled “Great” because of the long periods of suffering they caused. And in only two recoveries did government impose economic policies radically different from the policies pursued in all the other recoveries—different than traditional policy but similar to each other— FDR’s Great Depression and Mr. Obama’s Great Recession.</p>
<p>From 1932-36, federal spending skyrocketed 77%, the national debt rose by over 73%, and top tax rates more than tripled, from 25% to 79%. But the tectonic shift brought about by the New Deal was the federal government’s involvement in the economy, as a tidal wave of new laws were enacted and more executive orders were issued than by all subsequent presidents combined through President Clinton.</p>
<p>The resulting economic paralysis was described in 1936 by Al Smith, former New York governor and Democratic presidential nominee, as a “vast octopus set up by government that wound its arms all around the business of the country, paralyzed big business and choked little business to death.” Winston Churchill described U.S. Depression-era policies as “wages, prices and labour conditions grasped in muscular hands and nailed to an arbitrary framework.”</p>
<p>As government assumed greater control, private investment collapsed, averaging only 40% of the 1929 level for nine consecutive years. League of Nations data show that by 1938, in five of the six most-developed countries in the world industrial production was on average 23% above 1929 levels, but in the U.S. it was still down by 10%. Employment in five of the six major developed countries averaged 12% above the pre-Depression levels while U.S. employment was still down by 20%. Before the Great Depression, real per capita GDP in the U.S. was about 25% larger than it was in Britain. By 1938, real per capita GDP in Britain was slightly higher than in the U.S.</p>
<p>When Mr. Obama replicated some of FDR’s “progressive” policies, history was there to reteach its lessons. Spending surged 18% in the first year of the Obama administration. The publicly held national debt more than doubled. Marginal tax rates on ordinary income rose by 24% and taxes on capital gains and dividends rose by 59%. American businesses toiled under the world’s highest corporate tax rate and the world’s most punitive treatment of foreign earnings. Through law and regulation, government control of the economy grew as red tape that once had encumbered came to dominate health care, financial services, energy production and the internet.</p>
<p>Every 10 years between 1870 and 2007, incomes for each man, woman and child in America rose on average by 21.6%, according to census data and the Madison Project. This extraordinary achievement is the tangible measure of the extent to which the American dream actually came true. Only twice did that dream falter—in the Great Depression and the Great Recession. Whether we call it progressivism or socialism, bad policies produce bad results—not just sometimes in some places, but at all times in all places, even in America.</p>
<p>The dominant lesson of the Great Depression and the Great Recession is that when government overspends, overtaxes and over-regulates, economic freedom is suppressed and economic growth vanishes. When growth fades, it takes the American dream with it. Give America back its economic system of freedom and opportunity, and the ensuing growth will bring back the American dream.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm, a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr. Solon is a partner of US Policy Metrics.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ: The Great Recession Blame Game</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/the-great-recession-blame-game/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Apr 2016 19:20:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal Policy]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Banks took the heat, but it was Washington that propped up subprime debt and then stymied recovery By Phil Gramm and Michael Solon April 15, 2016 When the subprime crisis broke in the 2008 presidential election year, there was little chance for a serious discussion of its root causes. Candidate Barack Obama weaponized the crisis by blaming&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/the-great-recession-blame-game/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><strong>Banks took the heat, but it was Washington that propped up subprime debt and then stymied recovery</strong></div>
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<div>By Phil Gramm and Michael Solon</div>
<div>April 15, 2016</div>
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<div>When the subprime crisis broke in the 2008 presidential election year, there was little chance for a serious discussion of its root causes. Candidate <a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/O/Barack-Obama/4328" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://topics.wsj.com/person/O/Barack-Obama/4328&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438728000&amp;usg=AFQjCNHSC83GdE99uebNYJBFRjr1QlQRmQ">Barack Obama</a> weaponized the crisis by blaming greedy bankers, unleashed when <a href="http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=77034" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid%3D77034&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438728000&amp;usg=AFQjCNH7bvqw25IPXOc2yZkSk5xlrMITtA">financial regulations</a> were “simply dismantled.” He would <a href="https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/remarks-president-financial-reform" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www.whitehouse.gov/the-press-office/remarks-president-financial-reform&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGTlB5WQcAOkwUiMtgIAU7j31fRvw">go on </a>to blame them for taking “huge, reckless risks in pursuit of quick profits and massive bonuses.”</div>
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<p>That mistaken diagnosis was the justification for the Dodd-Frank Act and the stifling regulations that shackled the financial system, stunted the recovery and diminished the American dream.</p>
<p>In fact, when the crisis struck, banks were better capitalized and less leveraged than they had been in the previous 30 years. The FDIC’s <a href="https://www5.fdic.gov/hsob/SelectRpt.asp?EntryTyp=30&amp;Header=1" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www5.fdic.gov/hsob/SelectRpt.asp?EntryTyp%3D30%26Header%3D1&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGaCcGvVgAs5squbJjY_QlbXUXKFw">reported </a>capital-to-<wbr />asset ratio for insured commercial banks in 2007 was 10.2%—76% higher than it was in 1978. Federal Reserve data on all insured financial institutions show the capital-to-asset ratio was 10.3% in 2007, almost double its 1984 level, and the biggest banks doubled their capitalization ratios. On Sept. 30, 2008, the month Lehman failed, the FDIC <a href="https://www5.fdic.gov/qbp/2008sep/grbookbw/QBPGRBW.pdf" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=https://www5.fdic.gov/qbp/2008sep/grbookbw/QBPGRBW.pdf&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNGlSuvjzhhDZZcIYhJTYXhftdD2Ow">found </a>that 98% of all FDIC institutions with 99% of all bank assets were “well capitalized,” and only 43 smaller institutions were undercapitalized.</p>
<p>In addition, U.S. banks were by far the best-capitalized banks in the world. While the collapse of 31 million subprime mortgages fractured financial capital, the banking system in the 30 years before 2007 would have fared even worse under such massive stress.</p>
<p>Virtually all of the undercapitalization, overleveraging and “reckless risks” flowed from government policies and institutions. Federal regulators followed international banking standards that treated most subprime-mortgage-backed securities as low-risk, with lower capital requirements that gave banks the incentive to hold them. Government quotas forced Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to hold ever larger volumes of subprime mortgages, and politicians rolled the dice by letting them operate with a leverage ratio of 75 to one—compared with Lehman’s leverage ratio of 29 to one.</p>
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<p>Regulators also eroded the safety of the financial system by pressuring banks to make subprime loans in order to increase homeownership. After eight years of vilification and government extortion of bank assets, often for carrying out government mandates, it is increasingly clear that banks were more scapegoats than villains in the subprime crisis.</p>
<p>Similarly, the charge that banks had been deregulated before the crisis is a myth. From 1980 to 2007 four major banking laws—the Competitive Equality Banking Act (1987), the Financial Institutions, Reform, Recovery and Enforcement Act (1989), the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Improvement Act (1991), and Sarbanes-Oxley (2002)—undeniably increased bank regulations and reporting requirements. The charge that financial regulation had been dismantled rests almost solely on the disputed effects of the 1999 Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act (GLBA).</p>
<p>Prior to GLBA, the decades-old Glass-Steagall Act prohibited deposit-taking, commercial banks from engaging in securities trading. GLBA, which was signed into law by PresidentBill Clinton, allowed highly regulated financial-services holding companies to compete in banking, insurance and the securities business. But each activity was still required to operate separately and remained subject to the regulations and capital requirements that existed before GLBA. A bank operating within a holding company was still subject to Glass-Steagall (which was not repealed by GLBA)—but Glass-Steagall never banned banks from holding mortgages or mortgage-backed securities in the first place.</p>
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<p>GLBA loosened federal regulations only in the narrow sense that it promoted more competition across financial services and lowered prices. When he signed the law, President Clinton <a href="http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid=56922" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/?pid%3D56922&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNF-ge_Nb6kHWlf0vgDAhvF2_1vkOA">said </a>that “removal of barriers to competition will enhance the stability of our financial system, diversify their product offerings and thus their sources of revenue.” The financial crisis proved his point. Financial institutions that had used GLBA provisions to diversify fared better than those that didn’t.</p>
<p>Mr. Clinton has always insisted that “there is not a single solitary example that [GLBA] had anything to do with the financial crisis,” a conclusion that has never been refuted. When asked by the <a href="http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/21/reinstating-an-old-rule-is-not-a-cure-for-crisis/?_r=2" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2012/05/21/reinstating-an-old-rule-is-not-a-cure-for-crisis/?_r%3D2&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNF4lYNJwzjaSUP45KevrUSf6-4Xhg">New York Times</a> in 2012, Sen. <a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/W/Elizabeth-Warren/8131" target="_blank" data-saferedirecturl="https://www.google.com/url?hl=en&amp;q=http://topics.wsj.com/person/W/Elizabeth-Warren/8131&amp;source=gmail&amp;ust=1461093438729000&amp;usg=AFQjCNFsxevPnEMcQdY82ji7AKyFjDaRFg">Elizabeth Warren</a> agreed that the financial crisis would not have been avoided had GLBA never been adopted. And President Obama effectively exonerated GLBA from any culpability in the financial crisis when, with massive majorities in both Houses of Congress, he chose not to repeal GLBA. In fact, Dodd-Frank expanded GLBA by using its holding-company structure to impose new regulations on systemically important financial institutions.</p>
<p>Another myth of the financial crisis is that the bailout was required because some banks were too big to fail. Had the government’s massive injection of capital—the Troubled Asset Relief Program, or TARP—been only about bailing out too-big-to-fail financial institutions, at most a dozen institutions might have received aid. Instead, 954 financial institutions received assistance, with more than half the money going to small banks.</p>
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<p>Many of the largest banks did not want or need aid—and Lehman’s collapse was not a case of a too-big-to-fail institution spreading the crisis. The entire financial sector was already poisoned by the same subprime assets that felled Lehman. The subprime bailout occurred because the U.S. financial sector was, and always should be, too important to be allowed to fail.</p>
<p>Consider that, according to the Congressional Budget Office, bailing out the depositors of insolvent S&amp;Ls in the 1980s on net cost taxpayers $258 billion in real 2009 dollars. By contrast, of the $245 billion disbursed by TARP to banks, 67% was repaid within 14 months, 81% within two years and the final totals show that taxpayers earned $24 billion on the banking component of TARP. The rapid and complete payback of TARP funds by banks strongly suggests that the financial crisis was more a liquidity crisis than a solvency crisis.</p>
<p>What turned the subprime crisis and ensuing recession into the “Great Recession” was not a failure of policies that addressed the financial crisis. Instead, it was the failure of subsequent economic policies that impeded the recovery.</p>
<p>The subprime crisis was largely the product of government policy to promote housing ownership and regulators who chose to promote that social policy over their traditional mission of guaranteeing safety and soundness. But blaming the financial crisis on reckless bankers and deregulation made it possible for the Obama administration to seize effective control of the financial system and put government bureaucrats in the corporate boardrooms of many of the most significant U.S. banks and insurance companies.</p>
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<p>Suffocating under Dodd-Frank’s “enhanced supervision,” banks now focus on passing stress tests, writing living wills, parking capital at the Federal Reserve, and knowing their regulators better than they know their customers. But their ability to help the U.S. economy turn dreams into businesses and jobs has suffered.</p>
<p>In postwar America, it took on average just 2 1/4 years to regain in each succeeding recovery all of the real per capita income that had been lost in the previous recession. At the current rate of the Obama recovery, it will take six more years, 14 years in all, for the average American just to earn back what he lost in the last recession. Mr. Obama’s policies in banking, health care, power generation, the Internet and so much else have Europeanized America and American exceptionalism has waned—sadly proving that collectivism does not work any better in America than it has ever worked anywhere else.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm, a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr. Solon is a partner of US Policy Metrics.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ: The Federal Reserve’s Accountability Deficit</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/the-federal-reserves-accountability-deficit/</link>
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		<pubDate>Thu, 15 Oct 2015 13:50:48 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[Every member of the Fed’s Board of Governors is an Obama appointee. That wasn’t supposed to happen. By PHIL GRAMM And THOMAS R. SAVING Oct. 14, 2015 6:27 p.m. ET The Federal Reserve enjoys extraordinary independence from the elected branches of government, based on the well-founded fear that politicians cannot be trusted with the power to print money&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/the-federal-reserves-accountability-deficit/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2>Every member of the Fed’s Board of Governors is an Obama appointee. That wasn’t supposed to happen.</h2>
<p>By <strong>PHIL GRAMM</strong> And <strong>THOMAS R. SAVING</strong></p>
<p>Oct. 14, 2015 6:27 p.m. ET</p>
<p>The Federal Reserve enjoys extraordinary independence from the elected branches of government, based on the well-founded fear that politicians cannot be trusted with the power to print money and manipulate interest rates. While the Fed should be independent in setting monetary policy, its ever expanding regulatory powers, which have the force of law, entail a level of discretion that requires democratic accountability enforced by bipartisan oversight and transparency.</p>
<p>Because the U.S. was on the gold standard when the Federal Reserve was established in 1913, the Fed had limited control of the aggregate money supply. It acquired control with the effective demise of the gold standard in 1933. Recognizing the political implications of the central bank’s new power, Congress removed the secretary of the Treasury and the Comptroller of the Currency from the Federal Reserve Board in 1935.</p>
<p>During World War II, the Fed agreed to buy government debt to maintain a ceiling of 0.375% for Treasury bills and 2.5% for Treasury bonds. The inflation following the war—and the effort of the Truman administration to force the Fed to buy the bonds it issued to fund the Korean War—brought to a head the conflict between preserving stable prices and the Fed’s function as an agent of the Treasury. An agreement among Congress, the Treasury and the Fed produced the Accord of 1951, freeing the Fed from the necessity of supporting the market for federal debt.</p>
<p>The massive quantitative easing during the current recovery has led the Fed to purchase debt on a scale that far exceeds anything that occurred before the 1951 Accord. The Fed bought less than 12% of the $1.9 trillion World War II debt as measured in 2009 dollars. Since the fall of 2009, when the recovery began, the Fed has purchased $1.7 trillion of Treasurys and $1 trillion of mortgage-backed securities, directly and indirectly funding more than 55% of federal debt issued during the recovery.</p>
<p>Debate continues to rage over what benefits have accrued to the economy from the Fed’s near-zero interest-rate policy. But there is no debating the fact that Fed policy has made it possible for the federal debt held by the public to double, while the cost to the Treasury of servicing that debt has actually fallen—lowering the federal deficit by some half a trillion dollars a year.</p>
<p>No matter how pure the Fed board’s motives may have been, the fact remains that today every member of the Board of Governors is anObama appointee. This has occurred because—while the Federal Reserve Act provides terms of 14 years—the average tenure of members appointed in the past two decades has fallen to less than five years. As long as board members choose to serve short terms, there will always be a real question about how independent and nonpartisan the board is.</p>
<p>The independence of the Board of Governors could be strengthened by mandating that no more than four of the seven members can be from any one political party. The central bank’s independence could be further enhanced by increasing the number of the Fed’s regional bank presidents serving in rotation on the Fed’s monetary policy-setting body, the 12-member Open Market Committee, from four to seven.</p>
<p>The U.S. has long recognized that the accountability of federal regulatory agencies is best enforced by bipartisanship, transparency and oversight. The 1887 Interstate Commerce Commission had a five-member bipartisan board with no more than three members from the same party; and the agency was funded by annual congressional appropriations. Bipartisan boards funded by congressional appropriations have been the norm from the Federal Trade Commission in 1914, the International Trade Commission in 1916 and the Securities and Exchange Commission in 1934, down to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in 1975 and the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission in 1977.</p>
<p>The Fed’s regulatory powers have grown since the 1930s, and thanks to the 2010 Dodd-Frank financial reform, the Fed is now the country’s most powerful regulatory agency. The central bank has hundreds of regulators embedded in the front offices and board rooms of the nation’s major financial institutions. It dictates business practices, imposes regulations—some written by foreign regulators—and exercises broad and unaccountable discretionary powers that could determine the success or failure of virtually any financial institution in America.</p>
<p>The Fed’s independence in conducting monetary policy should be strengthened, recognizing the dramatic change in the tenures of board members, but a bipartisan board is indispensable for the nation’s most powerful regulator. The Fed’s regulatory and supervisory activities should be subject to the transparency and public comment provisions of the Administrative Procedure Act and the same constraints that hold other regulatory agencies accountable. All Fed regulatory activities should be subject to rigorous cost-benefit analysis and the Congressional Review Act, which enables Congress to disapprove agency rules that would have a major impact on the economy.</p>
<p>The Fed’s lack of accountability as the nation’s dominant regulator is at odds with our commitment to the rule of law and the principle of checks and balances, and is a growing threat to our economic freedom.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm, a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee, is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr. Saving is an economics professor and the director of the Private Enterprise Research Center at Texas A&amp;M University.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ: Dodd-Frank’s Nasty Double Whammy</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/dodd-franks-nasty-double-whammy/</link>
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		<pubDate>Mon, 27 Jul 2015 14:23:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
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		<description><![CDATA[The legislation has hit the banking industry hard, hurting the recovery. Worse is its effect on the rule of law. By PHIL GRAMM July 23, 2015 7:07 p.m. ET Five years after the passage of the Dodd-Frank financial law, the causes and effects of the failed economic recovery are apparent throughout the banking system. The&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/dodd-franks-nasty-double-whammy/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2 class="sub-head">The legislation has hit the banking industry hard, hurting the recovery. Worse is its effect on the rule of law.</h2>
<div class="clearfix byline-wrap">
<div class="byline">By PHIL GRAMM</div>
<p><time class="timestamp">July 23, 2015 7:07 p.m. ET</time></p>
<div class="comments-count-container">Five years after the passage of the Dodd-Frank financial law, the causes and effects of the failed economic recovery are apparent throughout the banking system. The Federal Reserve’s monetary easing has inflated bank reserves, but lending has barely increased. Today banks maintain an extraordinary $29 of reserves for every dollar they are required to hold. In the first quarter of 2015 banks actually deposited more money in the Fed ($65.1 billion) than they lent ($52.5 billion).</div>
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<p>According to the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., 1,341 commercial banks have disappeared since 2010. Remarkably, only two new banks have been chartered. By comparison, in the quarter century before the financial crisis, roughly 2,500 new banks were chartered. Even during the Great Depression of the 1930s, an average of 19 new banks a year were chartered.</p>
<p>A Mercatus Center <a class="icon none" href="http://mercatus.org/publication/how-are-small-banks-faring-under-dodd-frank" target="_blank">survey </a>found that while community banks have hired 50% more compliance officers to deal with Dodd-Frank, overall industry employment has increased only 5% and remains below precrisis levels. Industrial, consumer and mortgage finance continue to flee the banking system, as the American Bankers Association <a class="icon none" href="http://www.aba.com/Tools/Ebulletins/Newsbytes/Pages/NewsBytes-Display.aspx?WebId=d18a8e28-6914-43dd-b354-949fc90ef976&amp;ListId=1897346d-aa69-4732-8600-71c93ee94f1c&amp;ItemID=3356" target="_blank">reported </a>this week that the law’s regulatory burden has led almost half of banks to reduce offerings of financial products and services.</p>
<p>New financial-services technology, such as online and mobile payment systems, has continued to blossom, but almost exclusively outside the banking system. The massive resources of, and talent in, banks have been sidetracked, rather than being employed to make loans and boost the economy.</p>
<p>Worst of all, Dodd-Frank has empowered regulators to set rules on their own, rather than implement requirements set by Congress. This has undermined a vital condition necessary to put money and America back to work—legal and regulatory certainty.</p>
<p>It is true that a certain amount of regulatory flexibility is necessary in many laws. But in the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, and most subsequent banking law before Dodd-Frank, the powers Congress granted to regulators were fairly limited and generally implemented by bipartisan commissions.</p>
<p>Major decisions were debated and voted on in the clear light of day. Precedents and formal rules were knowable by the regulated. And regulators generally had to be responsive to Congress, which controlled agency appropriations. These checks and balances, while imperfect, did promote general consistency and predictability in federal regulatory policy.</p>
<p>This process has been undermined. For example, Dodd-Frank’s Consumer Financial Protection Bureau is not run by a bipartisan commission. And the CFPB’s funding is automatic, virtually eliminating any real ability for elected officials to check its policies. Consistency and predictability are being replaced by uncertainty and fear.</p>
<p>Over the years the Federal Trade Commission and the courts defined what constituted “unfair and deceptive” financial practices. Dodd-Frank added the word “abusive” without defining it. The result: The CFPB can now ban services and products offered by financial institutions even though they are not unfair or deceptive by long-standing precedent.</p>
<p>Regulators in the Dodd-Frank era impose restrictions on financial institutions never contemplated by Congress, and they push international regulations on insurance companies and money-market funds that Congress never authorized. The law’s Financial Stability Oversight Council meets in private and is made up exclusively of the sitting president’s appointed allies. Dodd-Frank does not say what makes a financial institution systemically important and thus subject to stringent regulation. The council does. Banks so designated have regulators embedded in their executive offices to monitor and advise, eerily reminiscent of the old political officers who were placed in every Soviet factory and military unit.</p>
<p>Dodd-Frank’s Volcker rule prohibits proprietary trading by banks. And yet, despite years of delay and hundreds of pages of new rules, no one knows what the rule requires—not even Paul Volcker.</p>
<p>Then there is the “living will,” a plan that banks deemed to be systemically important must submit to the Fed and the FDIC on how they would be liquidated if they fail. The Fed and the FDIC have almost total discretion in deciding whether the plan is acceptable and therefore whether to institute a variety of penalties, including the divestiture of assets.</p>
<p>Large banking firms must undergo stress tests to see if they could survive market turmoil. But what does the stress test test? No one knows. The Fed’s vice chairman,<a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/F/Stanley-Fischer/6595">Stanley Fischer</a>, said in a speech last month that giving banks a clear road map for compliance might make it “easier to game the test.” Compliance is indeed easier when you know what the law requires, but isn’t that the whole point of the rule of law?</p>
<p>To limit abuse by the rulers, ancient Rome wrote down the law and permitted citizens to read it. Under Dodd-Frank, regulatory authority is now so broad and so vague that this practice is no longer followed in America. The rules are now whatever regulators say they are.</p>
<p>Most criticism of Dodd-Frank focuses on its massive regulatory burden, but its most costly and dangerous effects are the uncertainty and arbitrary power it has created by the destruction of the rule of law. This shackles economic growth but more important, it imperils our freedom.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm is a former chairman of the Senate Banking Committee and a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute.</em></p>
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		<title>WSJ: How to Distort Income Inequality</title>
		<link>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/how-to-distort-income-inequality/</link>
		<comments>https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/how-to-distort-income-inequality/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2014 15:49:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[mariel]]></dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Financial Services]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiscal Policy]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[The Piketty-Saez data ignore changes in tax law and fail to count noncash compensation and Social Security benefits. By Phil Gramm And Michael Solon Nov. 11, 2014 6:50 p.m. ET What the hockey-stick portrayal of global temperatures did in bringing a sense of crisis to the issue of global warming is now being replicated in&#160;<a href="https://www.uspolicystrategies.com/how-to-distort-income-inequality/" class="read-more">Continue Reading</a>]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<h2><em>The Piketty-Saez data ignore changes in tax law and fail to count noncash compensation and Social Security benefits.</em></h2>
<p>By Phil Gramm And Michael Solon</p>
<p>Nov. 11, 2014 6:50 p.m. ET</p>
<p>What the hockey-stick portrayal of global temperatures did in bringing a sense of crisis to the issue of global warming is now being replicated in the controversy over income inequality, thanks to a now-famous <a href="http://eml.berkeley.edu/~saez/pikettyqje.pdf">study </a>by Thomas Piketty and Emmanuel Saez, professors of economics at the Paris School of Economics and the University of California, Berkeley, respectively. Whether the issue is climate change or income inequality, however, problems with the underlying data significantly distort the debate.</p>
<p>The chosen starting point for the most-quoted part of the Piketty-Saez study is 1979. In that year the inflation rate was 13.3%, interest rates were 15.5% and the poverty rate was rising, but economic misery was distributed more equally than in any year since. That misery led to the election of Ronald Reagan, whose economic policies helped usher in 25 years of lower interest rates, lower inflation and high economic growth. But Messrs. Piketty and Saez tell us it was also a period where the rich got richer, the poor got poorer and only a relatively small number of Americans benefited from the economic booms of the Reagan and Clinton years.</p>
<p>If that dark picture doesn’t sound like the country you lived in, that’s because it isn’t. The Piketty-Saez study looked only at pretax cash market income. It did not take into account taxes. It left out noncash compensation such as employer-provided health insurance and pension contributions. It left out Social Security payments, Medicare and Medicaid benefits, and more than 100 other means-tested government programs. Realized capital gains were included, but not the first $500,000 from the sale of one’s home, which is tax-exempt. IRAs and 401(k)s were counted only when the money is taken out in retirement. Finally, the Piketty-Saez data are based on individual tax returns, which ignore, for any given household, the presence of multiple earners.</p>
<p>And now, thanks to a new <a href="http://journal.southerneconomic.org/doi/abs/10.4284/0038-4038-2013.175">study </a>in the Southern Economic Journal, we know what the picture looks like when the missing data are filled in. Economists Philip Armour and Richard V. Burkhauser of Cornell University and Jeff Larrimore of Congress’s Joint Committee on Taxation expanded the Piketty-Saez income measure using census data to account for all public and private in-kind benefits, taxes, Social Security payments and household size.</p>
<p>The result is dramatic. The bottom quintile of Americans experienced a 31% increase in income from 1979 to 2007 instead of a 33% decline that is found using a Piketty-Saez market-income measure alone. The income of the second quintile, often referred to as the working class, rose by 32%, not 0.7%. The income of the middle quintile, America’s middle class, increased by 37%, not 2.2%.</p>
<p>By omitting Social Security, Medicare and Medicaid, the Piketty-Saez study renders most older Americans poor when in reality most have above-average incomes. The exclusion of benefits like employer-provided health insurance, retirement benefits (except when actually paid out in retirement) and capital gains on homes misses much of the income and wealth of middle- and upper-middle income families.</p>
<p>Messrs. Piketty and Saez also did not take into consideration the effect that tax policies have on how people report their incomes. This leads to major distortions. The bipartisan tax reform of 1986 lowered the highest personal tax rate to 28% from 50%, but the top corporate-tax rate was reduced only to 34%. There was, therefore, an incentive to restructure businesses from C-Corps to subchapter S corporations, limited-liability corporations, partnerships and proprietorships, where the same income would now be taxed only once at a lower, personal rate. As businesses restructured, what had been corporate income poured into personal income-tax receipts.</p>
<p>So Messrs. Piketty and Saez report a 44% increase in the income earned by the top 1% in 1987 and 1988—though this change reflected how income was taxed, not how income had grown. This change in the structure of American businesses alone accounts for roughly one-third of what they portray as the growth in the income share earned by the top 1% of earners over the entire 1979-2012 period.</p>
<p>An equally extraordinary distortion in the data used to measure inequality (the Gini Coefficient) has been discovered by Cornell’s Mr. Burkhauser. In 1992 the Census Bureau changed the Current Population Survey to collect more in-depth data on high-income individuals. This change in survey technique alone, causing a one-time upward shift in the measured income of high-income individuals, is the source of almost 30% of the total growth of inequality in the U.S. since 1979.</p>
<p>Simple statistical errors in the data account for roughly one third of what is now claimed to be a “frightening” increase in income inequality. But the weakness of the case for redistribution does not end there. America is the freest and most dynamic society in history, and freedom and equality of outcome have never coexisted anywhere at any time. Here the innovator, the first mover, the talented and the persistent win out—producing large income inequality. The prizes are unequal because in our system consumers reward people for the value they add. Some can and do add extraordinary value, others can’t or don’t.</p>
<p>How exactly are we poorer because <a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/G/Bill-Gates/685">Bill Gates </a>, <a href="http://topics.wsj.com/person/B/Warren-Buffett/641">Warren Buffett </a>and the Walton family are so rich? Mr. Gates became rich by mainstreaming computer power into our lives and in the process made us better off. Mr. Buffett’s genius improves the efficiency of capital allocation and the whole economy benefits. <a href="http://quotes.wsj.com/WMT">Wal-Mart </a>stretches our buying power and raises the living standards of millions of Americans, especially low-income earners. Rich people don’t “take” a large share of national income, they “bring” it. The beauty of our system is that everybody benefits from the value they bring.</p>
<p>Yes, income is 24% less equally distributed here than in the average of the other 34 member countries of the OECD. But OECD figures show that U.S. per capita GDP is 42% higher, household wealth is 210% higher and median disposable income is 42% higher. How many Americans would give up 42% of their income to see the rich get less?</p>
<p>Vast new fortunes were earned in the 25-year boom that began under Reagan and continued under Clinton. But the income of middle-class Americans rose significantly. These incomes have fallen during the Obama presidency, and not because the rich have gotten richer. They’ve fallen because bad federal policies have yielded the weakest recovery in the postwar history of America.</p>
<p>Yet even as the recovery continues to disappoint, the president increasingly turns to the politics of envy by demanding that the rich pay their “fair share.” The politics of envy may work here as it has worked so often in Latin America and Europe, but the economics of envy is failing in America as it has failed everywhere else.</p>
<p><em>Mr. Gramm, a former Republican senator from Texas, is a visiting scholar at the American Enterprise Institute. Mr. Solon was a budget adviser to Senate Republican Leader Mitch McConnell and is a partner of US Policy Metrics.</em></p>
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